<h3>PROWLING INTO THE FUTURE</h3>
<p>Many prophets have taken in hand to tell us what the Panama Canal is to bring forth in its
commercial, social, political, geographical, and educational results for the world. Probably no
world-event has ever had so much advance advertising as this much written-up achievement. Great as
is the Canal, it came near being out-*shone in brilliancy by the publicity material sent out by
journalists who found the subject to be profitable copy.</p>
<p>In the main, the prophets were right. The world war postponed the arrival of some of the promised
results, but it also enlarged the importance of the Canal and assured more extensive and
far-reaching effects than could have been prophesied before the war began. It is now certain that we
are to have a new and more closely united America than was formerly possible, and that the drawing
together of the two Americas has been greatly accelerated by the world vindication of democracy. In
this closer brotherhood of all Americans the Canal will play a large and important part.</p>
<p>Just how far the stream of influences will flow
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_236" id="Page_236">[Pg 236]</SPAN></span>
cannot be told, but it is within the moderate possibilities to say that every country in the world
will be affected by the changes due to the new water-*way. The French originators of the first
project saw an opportunity for commercial investment and hoped to make good dividends from the
venture. They did not much concern themselves with by-products. The Americans who planned and pushed
and persevered until the work was again begun were thinking of commercial and naval results, evident
enough, but they could not have foreseen the far consequences to follow, nor could they have known
that on the Canal Zone five or six related industries were to spring up under management of the
Canal Commission. It is now about as difficult to predict the world-wide effects of the Canal factor
as it would have been in 1903 to foresee the related industries of the present situation.</p>
<p>Shortening of trade routes is the first and obvious consideration. Everything else grows out of
the elimination of distances by the Canal cut-off. It requires no prophetic gift to take the figures
from any good map and ascertain that from New York to San Francisco via Magellan is 13,135 miles,
whereas via Panama it is 5,262—a saving of 7,873 miles, or a month of steady steaming. Between
New York and Honolulu there is a saving of 6,610 miles; and Yokohama is 2,768 miles nearer New York
via Panama than by the Suez
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_237" id="Page_237">[Pg 237]</SPAN></span>
route. The list of distances saved may be indefinitely extended.</p>
<div class="imgright" style="width: 223px;">
<ANTIMG src="images/illus-235.jpg" width-obs="223" height-obs="500" alt="Panama Public Water Works, Interior Country" title="" />
<span class="caption">PANAMA PUBLIC WATER WORKS, INTERIOR COUNTRY</span></div>
<p>If there were no results other than the saving of a week or a month of steamer time, the Canal
would be cheap at several times its price. But these changes in steamer schedules and prices
introduce an entirely new set of reactions into the commercial and social world, and this is where
the interesting problems arise. Left to herself, nature tends to establish a balance of flora or
fauna in any locality. Introduce a new plant or animal or microbe and all sorts of readjustments
begin at once, and before a new balance is established almost anything may happen. Commerce finds
its level in much the same way and by the same law. Introduce a radical disturbance, like the Panama
short-cut, and everything begins to happen. Add the direct and indirect results of the war with its
weakening of German influence and strengthening of
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_238" id="Page_238">[Pg 238]</SPAN></span>
inter-American interests, and we may have practically a new world before a new balance is
established.</p>
<p>Commercial interests naturally forge to the front in any discussion of canal results. So ably
have these matters been discussed by experts that any repetition of figures and industries here
would be beyond the scope of this work.</p>
<p>It must be understood that the world war rendered obsolete our former ideas regarding trade
between the United States and Spanish-America. Whether the extensive German political-commercial
machine that covered all Latin-America can regain its prestige in fifty years to come remains to be
seen, but it is certain that for a generation following the defeat of Germany by the free nations of
the world North America will have a magnificent opportunity to enter South American trade on very
advantageous terms. And the great bulk of the west-coast trade will pass through the Canal on its
way to Gulf and Atlantic ports, as well as to Europe.</p>
<p>The completion of the Panama Canal may be set down as the date of the discovery of Latin-America
by the people of the United States. Previous to that date the North Americans were aware enough of
the Monroe Doctrine, but almost unaware of the lives and interests of the nations living south of
the Rio Grande River. With the opening of the Canal the North Americans
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_239" id="Page_239">[Pg 239]</SPAN></span>
began thinking south, and so far as the process has gone it has been very informing. Once the war is
out of the way, the process will be greatly accelerated. With uninterrupted commercial conditions,
five years of the expanded life due to the Canal will be about equal to sending the whole people
back to school for a year. The cultural and geographical values of this new zone of thinking have
hardly been felt as yet, but now that the attention of the world is released from the battlefields
of Europe and the enormous social and financial problems arising from the expense of making the
world decent once for all, the tide of interest is again turning southward along the shores of our
own great oceans to the mighty events that await us there.</p>
<p>Spanish-America has twelve republics and eight thousand miles of coast line on the Pacific ocean.
The United States has a Pacific Coast of about fifteen hundred miles. The eight thousand miles marks
the western boundaries of lands enormously rich in things that the world needs, but exceedingly poor
in finished products or adequate growth. Probably no country on earth shows a wider margin to-day
between present raw resources and possible high developments than these same twelve Spanish-speaking
countries. The only analogy that bears on the case is that of the rapid and extensive advancement of
the Pacific States after the completion of the
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_240" id="Page_240">[Pg 240]</SPAN></span>
transcontinental railroads. There is reason to believe that a similar record of progress awaits the
west coast of South America.</p>
<p>The combined foreign trade of the west-coast republics before the war reached the very
respectable total of nearly one billion of gold dollars in a single year. There are commercial
prophets who believe that within ten years from the completion of demobilization this volume of
trade may be doubled. This means new markets, new industries, new development of mines, markets,
manufactures, and agriculture, new colonization projects and a score of other unpredictable results.
No less an authority than Mr. John L. Barrett says, "I believe that the Panama Canal will initiate
in all South American countries a genuine movement which will have a most important bearing on the
commerce and civilization of the world."</p>
<p>An immense amount of iron lies buried in the mountains of the west coast. Not much has ever been
done about it. But enormous quantities of ore have been destroyed by the processes of war, and South
American iron may come to high values sooner than its owners have supposed.</p>
<p>It is only recently that consideration has been given to the idea of establishing in connection
with the Canal a great commercial trans-shipping point. Colon is yet a little town, mostly West
Indian to-day, but already the Cristobal
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_241" id="Page_241">[Pg 241]</SPAN></span>
docks are piled high with South American products awaiting reshipment. The proposed establishment of
a free port at Colon may yet result in a western Hongkong where the commerce of the seven seas comes
together to be distributed to the five continents. Whatever might have been the results had there
been no war, it is now sure that everything that happens in South America has henceforth a very
definite significance for the United States. Whether we like it or not, we are out of our exclusive
dooryard and will have to take our place on the great national street named America and play the
game with our neighbors.</p>
<p>For decades past Central America has been an unknown land to the United States. We have
contentedly supposed that the only crop was that of revolutions and the only resources a few jungle
fruits. But at last we are discovering Central America, and some of us are astonished to there find
vast areas, fertile soils, varied and valuable products, intelligent peoples, a volume of commerce
and climate fit for Eden. We knew little and cared less about Guatemala, Salvador, Honduras,
Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Panama; and since the bulk of trade of these lands was with Europe, they
paid little attention to us. Why should they do otherwise?</p>
<p>The presence of the United States on the Isthmus of Panama introduces a new factor into the
American tropics. It looks very small and
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_242" id="Page_242">[Pg 242]</SPAN></span>
insignificant, that little ten-mile strip with the influence in Panamanian affairs, but how far the
North American influence is going to reach out beyond the Zone limits cannot be known. Everybody is
watching the results for revolution-proof, permanently peaceful Panama, and there are other
countries not far away where there are people who are praying for something like it, or
just-as-good, for themselves. Doubtless their prayers will not be answered directly but the
influence of this leaven may work out into a wide circle and instigate movements that we have not
counted upon.</p>
<div class="imgleft" style="width: 276px;">
<ANTIMG src="images/illus-240.jpg" width-obs="276" height-obs="450" alt="A Jungle Cathedral" title="" />
<span class="caption">A JUNGLE CATHEDRAL</span></div>
<p>But the largest factor in the new American situation grows out of the new world-emphasis on the
Golden Rule. At last the world understands as never before how finally determinative is the moral
and spiritual factor in all human progress. We may never know just how much the world had paid to
clear away the rubbish of autocracy and found the new age on the principle
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_243" id="Page_243">[Pg 243]</SPAN></span>
of a square deal for great and small; but the deed is done, and henceforth the one compelling
sanction in all life must be the essential principle for which the Allies have spent their treasure
and spilled their blood. The new internationalism will underlie all further development of relations
between the two Americas, which opens a new world of social discovery and growth as fascinating as
that which Columbus found in the physical surface of the globe.</p>
<p>The greater results of the closer fellowship of North and South America will be registered in the
realms of mind and spirit. Trade balances and stock dividends there will be, but back of and beyond
these will rise the new American spirit, uniting the finest courtesy and artistic temperament of the
Latin with the practical initiative and efficient vigor of the blend of blood in the United States.
There is no gulf, great or small, fixed between the two races. Each has something that the other
needs, and close fellowship will result in new race sympathy and mutual advantage.</p>
<p>To ignore this basis of development is to forget that cold commercialism will in time chill the
fervor of friendships and alienate the growing sympathy of nations. If we are to have no interest in
our neighbors other than the profits we may make from their trade, we will soon cease to be friends
and become bitter rivals at the big game of getting all we can.</p>
<p><span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_244" id="Page_244">[Pg 244]</SPAN></span></p>
<p>It takes two to play the game of reciprocal commercial success. If we succeed on the great
international chess board, it will be not by shrewd defeat of our friends but by the coming to
maturity of a high sense of honor and fair play on both sides. It is not one of us against the
other, but both of us together against the normal difficulties of growth and production.</p>
<p>One of the native leaders of Latin-American life has explained that South America was unfortunate
in the character of the founders of her national institutions. Adventurers, explorers for gain,
greedy conquistadores made the beginnings here, and the moral foundations were laid by religious
leaders who traveled with pirates and plunderers and officially blessed their every act of crime.
And from the beginning until now the type of religion that has prevailed in Latin-America has not
assisted in the building up of free institutions, nor has it produced a high morality among the
people.</p>
<p>The South American struggle for self-government and free ideals has been a long, bloody, and
heroic grapple with the reactionary and despotic forces brought over from mediæval Europe. Men
like San Martin and Bolivar deserve high honor for their work in breaking the bondage that held all
life helpless. One by one the colonies threw off their political yokes and became republics, every
one of them, in theory, modeled after
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_245" id="Page_245">[Pg 245]</SPAN></span>
the United States. The passion of the South American patriot has been home-rule, but, unfortunately,
home-rule has not always meant self-government. That is quite a different matter. The overthrow of
European despotisms was followed by innumerable internal revolutions. Panama had no monopoly on
internal dissensions, and makes no claim that her fifty-three revolutions in fifty-seven years is
the high-water mark of insurrections for South or Central America.</p>
<p>In short, the mere overthrow of a despotic government does not assure stable political
institutions nor efficient administration of public affairs. Good government by popular sovereignty
is something far more fundamental than a matter of printed constitutions or shouting "Viva
independencia!" in the plazas. Without moral responsibility and free consciences there can never be
a successful democracy on earth.</p>
<p>Free institutions and free consciences are winning out in South America, but it is in spite of
the established church and not because of it. It is not politically a question of religion that we
are discussing; it is a matter of organized, crafty, and unscrupulous opposition to every movement
that makes for the development of democracy in South America. And since the establishment of a
better understanding and closer fellowship between the two continents depends upon this very basis
of free and morally responsible social and
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_246" id="Page_246">[Pg 246]</SPAN></span>
political leaders, the question is most vital. Everywhere there are a few intelligent, earnest men
working away patiently and steadily at the problem of making South America democratic by making her
people free to adopt with intelligence democratic institutions. One by one the nations have declared
for freedom of worship and conscience, and, last of all, Peru, robbed and despoiled Peru of the
conquest, priest-ridden and fanatical Peru, threw off the galling yoke of spiritual bondage and
divorced church and state. It seems simple enough to read about it here, but at every step of the
way the old church left unturned no stone of bigotry and intrigue and prejudice that could oppose
the coming of the modern age to Peru.</p>
<p>The supreme tragedy of South American life has been that the light that has been in her has been
darkness. The spiritual leaders of the people have themselves opposed all progress toward the light.
Until a spiritual leadership arises that will at least support aggressive and progressive movements
toward freedom and democracy and moral uplift, slow progress will be made. And this matter concerns
the whole American world. These are now our next-door neighbors, and their children will yet be
playing in our yard.</p>
<p>The surprising thing is that so much has already been accomplished with a millstone tied
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_247" id="Page_247">[Pg 247]</SPAN></span>
about the neck of all progressive movements. No finer tribute could be paid to the high ideals and
large possibilities of South American character than a recital of the results accomplished by her
intellectual and moral leaders in the face of enormous handicaps.</p>
<p>The thinking minds of these southern republics are almost without a religion to-day. Long since
have they ceased to give even passive assent to the demands of the commercial hierarchy that claims
spiritual monopoly over the souls of man. Technical outward conformity to the requirements of the
church may be a political advantage or a domestic convenience, but as a principle of life and
foundation for thought the intellectuals are frankly agnostic. Man after man, when once confidence
is gained, will state that they do not believe in the claims of the church, and usually have ceased
to believe in anything at all—and these are the leaders of the intellectual life of the
nations with which we are to deal. And what are they to do? No adequate substitute do they know, and
until an open Bible and a living Christ take the place of the mummery and the crucifix we cannot
denounce their course. Their intellectual nonconformity is to their credit.</p>
<p>The final problem is that of developing people fit to live with, not mental and moral slaves
under the dominance of superstition and intolerance. Back of the cry for wider and richer trade
routes
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_248" id="Page_248">[Pg 248]</SPAN></span>
is the need of responsible men with whom we may transact business. More than shorter shipping line,
we need better shippers, north and south. Underneath vast projects of material advancement lie all
the social and industrial problems of labor and wages and exchange and credits and fidelity to
contracts and personal honor. And above all this is the need of honesty and efficiency and a
personal faith in a living God who knows and cares and takes account of what we do, of what we are,
and is not to be bought off by a check or an incantation.</p>
<div class="imgleft" style="width: 223px;">
<ANTIMG src="images/illus-246.jpg" width-obs="223" height-obs="600" alt="Shoe-Bills Are Small" title="" />
<span class="caption">SHOE-BILLS ARE SMALL</span></div>
<p>What the bigger American
world needs is bigger
and better Americans,
Latin and Saxon. If the
influences released by the
Panama Canal help to produce
these citizens of the
larger horizon, one of the greatest services possible
will be rendered to humanity. But the larger
horizon is conditioned upon a larger hope that
flows from the mountain of the more abundant
life. And the Americans of the northland need
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_249" id="Page_249">[Pg 249]</SPAN></span>
the broader basis and vision and character as
much as their southern neighbors.</p>
<p>What really has the Panama Canal to do with
all this? Much every way, but chiefly as a key for
the unlocking of the long-closed doors and the
releasing of long-latent forces of international relations
in trade and in social and spiritual life.
Should a great working example of educational
and social and spiritual life be established at
Panama by some concerted action of united
Protestantism, the influence of the principles
there promulgated by progressive and devout
men would extend over a very wide range of
Latin life. The procession that now passes
through Panama will be doubled and trebled in
the coming decades, and what is planted here will
spread everywhere. "I saw it so done in Panama,"
may become the precedent for almost
anything new, whether good or bad.</p>
<p>The influence of such institutions in the City of
Panama will be more far-reaching than if located
on the Canal Zone. The Zone is wholly North
American; Panama is thoroughly Latin. The
institutions of the Zone are those of the United
States and are looked on somewhat askance by
Latin visitors. It is all very great and imposing,
but it is so radically different in spirit and
method, that points of close contact are hard to
establish. Panama is a different matter. Whatever
is done there by Spanish-speaking people
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_250" id="Page_250">[Pg 250]</SPAN></span>
will be visited and viewed with sympathetic interest
and appreciation.</p>
<p>The heart of living faith that is to impress its
throb on this blood stream of Latin life must not
be an imported made-in-the-States institution, or
it will be but an ineffectual flutter. Likewise it
must be something more comprehensive than the
traditional schedule of occasional gatherings of
the faithful, important as these will be. To do
this work there needs be an interpretation of the
Christian message that will relate itself to a
very wide circle of human life and interests.
Through native leadership and examples must be
spoken a message that will compel attention and
challenge the minds as well as the hearts of men.
A living interpretation of a spiritual passion, a
social service program with a heart in it, an educational
work that will not only teach the curriculum
but develop moral character, and intellectual
propaganda of good literature, a physical
gospel of health and exercise, a recreational life
clean and wholesome, a personal moral standard
of the New Testament grade—these are what are
needed in Panama and, broadly speaking, everywhere
else in Latin-America. Once established
here they will be felt over a wide reach of the
southern world.</p>
<p>There is a lot of cheap and easy optimism that
maintains that all will yet be well in some indefinite
way. Some hopeful tourists have visited
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_251" id="Page_251">[Pg 251]</SPAN></span>
Panama and taken the trip about South America,
apparently seeing nothing but the rainbow of
promise everywhere. And these happy pilgrims
have written books, assuring us with a maximum
of glittering generalities that right is everywhere
driving out wrong and that all will soon be well.
Other writers assume this attitude consciously,
out of regard for the interests that pay their expenses
on the trip. Some people write in glowing
terms from motives of consideration for the feelings
of their South American friends. Would
that we might tell only the bright sight of the
story! It would be far more pleasant.</p>
<p>But, after all, the facts are the irreducible
minimum upon which to build all successful programs
of reconstruction. Only when we reach
the inner and deeper springs of life and character
can we hope to open fountains of living waters for
the desert of the human heart in bondage.
Really to know Latin-America is to believe in
its high and fine possibilities. What Latin-America
needs is a fair chance.</p>
<p>The end of the last great despotism of earth
has left democracy a triumphant political principle
in human government. Henceforth no nation
may hope to keep step with the advance of
mankind unless its political procedures are essentially
democratic. And while South America
has long had the form of democracy, it now becomes
essential that her republics develop the
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_252" id="Page_252">[Pg 252]</SPAN></span>
working reality of effective self-government. To
do this two things are indispensable. The successful
democracy must be intelligent and must
find a moral foundation in the free consciences
and minds of self-disciplined citizens. Spiritual
despotisms and religious superstitions never did
and never will eventuate in a capacity for democracy.
Only men who are intelligently free can
exercise the functions of free governments.</p>
<p>The only working basis of democracy, in short,
is that system of religious ideals which has uniformly
supported popular education, championed
the rights of the oppressed, advocated
self-government, welcomed investigation, and
maintained freedom of conscience as of higher
value than iron-bound uniformity to prescribed
standards. It requires but a cursory glance at
the record of history to know that no working democracy
has ever survived the opposition of an
ecclesiastical hierarchy that has remained the
bitter foe of progress for a thousand years.</p>
<p>There is more hope for Panama in the little
Protestant chapel down by the Malecon and the
efficient and modern school maintained there by
the force of missionaries with their progressive
ideals than in all the pageantry and glitter of a
system of repression and despotism that the world
is rapidly outgrowing. The religious Hun will
take his place with the deposed political despot
who proposed to destroy the liberties of mankind.
<span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_253" id="Page_253">[Pg 253]</SPAN></span>
The most urgent need of the mission work
in Panama just now is that of trained and efficient
Latin leadership. No people can be effectively
lifted from without.</p>
<p>A century ago nearly the whole of the southern
world was in the throes of political readjustment.
Self-government and political freedom were the
watchwords and everywhere strong men arose
and devoted their lives to the task of breaking
from the necks of the people the political yokes
under which they had staggered for two and one
half centuries.</p>
<p>To-day in Latin-America the second great
struggle for freedom is under way. Bound
minds and consciences, superstitions and moral
despotisms—these are the stumbling-stones
across the pathway of progress. All over Latin-America
men are rising and enlisting their hearts
and minds in the struggle for free consciences and
independent judgment in the things of the Spirit.
Nearly all these countries achieved political independence
within a few years. When the climax
came it was comparatively sudden, and it may be
that the breaking of the chains of moral and spiritual
despotisms will likewise be a shorter struggle
than now seems possible. Once again the
clock is striking, and who knows but the end of
political despotism in all the earth may mark the
rapid approach of spiritual democracy and highest
liberty in all America!</p>
<p><span class="pagenum"><SPAN name="Page_254" id="Page_254">[Pg 254]</SPAN></span></p>
<p>Heroic has been the long struggle in Latin-America
for self-government. Splendid is the
fight being made to-day for larger liberty. If
Pan-Americanism means anything at all, it
means a social foundation in honor and intelligence
and brotherhood. It is time to address ourselves
to the great unfinished task begun by those
intrepid pioneers. The Canal is finished and the
task of construction is done, but the end of construction
is the beginning of empire-building for
the larger task yet incomplete.</p>
<div style="break-after:column;"></div><br />